# Great-Power War Index

Risk of direct conventional war between major powers.

**Today: 43/100 — Elevated**
Change vs yesterday: +0

## Historical values

- Yesterday: 43
- Last week: 59
- Last month: 59
- Yearly high: 72 (2026-07-04)
- Yearly low: 7 (2026-07-18)

## Latest coverage

- [Russia, Ukraine and US to meet as Zelenskyy claims battlefield successes](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/10/russia-ukraine-and-us-to-meet-as-zelenskyy-claims-battlefield-successes?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-10
- [Ukraine war briefing: battlefield gains bolstering Kyiv’s hand in US-led peace talks, Zelenskyy says](https://theguardian.com/world/2026/nov/10/ukraine-war-briefing-battlefield-gains-bolstering-kyivs-hand-in-us-led-peace-talks-zelenskyy-says) — The Guardian, 2026-11-10
- [New trilateral talks on Ukraine war in Abu Dhabi: What to expect?](https://dw.com/en/new-trilateral-talks-on-ukraine-war-in-abu-dhabi-what-to-expect/a-79905734?maca=en-rss-en-world-4025-rdf) — DW, 2026-11-09
- [South Africa detains foreigners suspected of heading to join Russian forces](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/9/south-africa-detains-foreigners-suspected-of-heading-to-join-russian-forces?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-09
- [More than 400,000 Russians killed fighting in Ukraine war, leaked data suggests](https://theguardian.com/world/2026/nov/09/russians-killed-ukraine-war-leaked-data) — The Guardian, 2026-11-09
- [Nine foreigners caught allegedly trying to leave South Africa to fight in Ukraine](https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm93z3lp5lnpo) — BBC News, 2026-11-09
- [At least four people killed as Russia and Ukraine trade strikes overnight](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/9/at-least-one-person-killed-as-russia-and-ukraine-trade-strikes-overnight?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-09
- [European troops in Poland: 'Coalition of the Willing' holds military exercises](https://france24.com/en/video/20261109-european-troops-in-poland-coalition-of-the-willing-holds-military-exercises) — France 24, 2026-11-09
- [Europe to press US on Ukraine peace and Iran at Paris G7 talks](https://france24.com/en/france/20261109-europa-us-ukraine-peace-iran-paris-g7-ministers) — France 24, 2026-11-09
- [Ukraine war briefing: Russia ramping up attacks to ‘pressure’ Kyiv at trilateral talks, Zelenskyy says](https://theguardian.com/world/2026/nov/08/ukraine-war-briefing-russia-ramping-up-attacks-to-pressure-kyiv-at-trilateral-talks-zelenskyy-says) — The Guardian, 2026-11-08
- [Ukraine’s Zaporizhzhia faces threat as Russian drones close in](https://aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/11/7/0711-reported-audrey-in-zaporizhzhia-071126?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-07
- [European troops set to train in Poland for postwar Ukraine deployment](https://defensenews.com/news/2026/11/07/european-troops-set-to-train-in-poland-for-postwar-ukraine-deployment) — Defense News, 2026-11-07
- [‘They started bombing us with drones’: Russian attacks unnerve Zaporizhzhia](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/7/they-started-bombing-us-with-drones-russian-attacks-unnerve-zaporizhzhia?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-07
- [Blackouts and water shortages in Kyiv after Russia strikes Ukraine’s energy grid](https://theguardian.com/world/2026/nov/07/blackout-water-shortage-kyiv-russia-strike-ukraine-energy-grid) — The Guardian, 2026-11-07
- [Russian strikes wound nine and damage Ukraine's power network ahead of talks](https://bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm4g1nq8158po) — BBC News, 2026-11-07
- [Qeshm island and Hormuz hit, as mediators try to prevent US-Iran escalation](https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/11/7/qeshm-island-and-hormuz-hit-as-mediators-try-to-prevent-us-iran-escalation?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-07
- [Moscow strikes Kyiv as Ukraine prepares for talks with Russia and the US](https://france24.com/en/europe/20261107-moscow-strikes-kyiv-as-ukraine-prepares-for-talks-with-russia-and-the-us) — France 24, 2026-11-07
- [Ukraine war briefing: Beijing confirms historic Xi-Trump-Putin meeting under discussion](https://theguardian.com/world/2026/nov/07/ukraine-war-briefing-beijing-confirms-historic-xi-trump-putin-meeting-under-discussion) — The Guardian, 2026-11-07
- [US, Colombian troops kick off exercise amid the Pentagon’s Western Hemisphere pivot](https://defensenews.com/global/the-americas/2026/11/06/us-colombian-troops-kick-off-exercise-amid-the-pentagons-western-hemisphere-pivot) — Defense News, 2026-11-06
- [European troops prepare for possible post-ceasefire deployment to Ukraine](https://aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/11/6/france-ukraine-postwar-military-drills?traffic_source=rss) — Al Jazeera, 2026-11-06

Web page: https://globalwarindex.com/index/conventional/

_Not a forecast or a statement of probability: the readings reflect the tone and intensity of news coverage._